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June 29, 2006

Let's All Pay For Illegal Immigrants Social Security Benefits

mexican map.jpgTwo years ago today, June 29th, 2004, is a date you'll want to remember. You should also remember the term “Totalization Agreement”. Why are these two things important, you may ask? The date is when Jo Anne Barnhart, commissioner of the Social Security Administration, signed a totalization agreement with Mexican official Dr. Santiago Levy Algazi, Director General, of the Mexican Social Security Institute. Why is that a big deal? It's a big deal because such agreements remove the requirement that citizens of either country contribute to both social security systems if they worked in both countries. According to Barnhart, the deal “promotes equity and fairness for workers who divide their careers between our two countries.”

What!!! Who wouldn't want to promote equity and fairness? In this case, no U.S. citizen that's not interested in giving a huge chunk of our (already overburdened) Social Security budget to Mexican citizens, that's who. One problem lies in the fact that there are far more Mexican workers working here, both legally and illegally, than the reverse. In addition, there is a huge economic disparity between our two countries. This agreement lets illegal Mexican immigrants working here qualify for U.S. Social Security benefits when they retire, either here, or in Mexico. If you're not good and pissed off enough yet, this next item might get you a bit more riled up. The illegal immigrants that are potentially getting these benefits can now qualify for them with only 6 quarters of work, vs. 40 quarters before the agreement was signed. Oh, and their spouses and dependents are eligible for benefits too. Wouldn't want to leave anyone out in the cold, you know.

To be fair, we already have such totalization agreements with 20 other countries, including England, South Korea, Canada and Germany. Why is the same type of agreement with Mexico such an outrage? For one thing, we don't have many Germans or Koreans wading across the Rio Grande to pick lettuce. The same can't be said for citizens from our neighbor to the south. Another key difference with the Mexican agreement is that Mexicans make up a far greater proportion of our illegal immigrant population than citizens from any other country.

Will this agreement cost us anything? What do you think? According to official Social Security Administration estimates, we'll spend an extra $650 million by 2050. Naturally, these estimates were provided by the agency that cooked up the whole scheme, so you may take them with a grain of salt. Here's why. According to the U.S. General Accounting Office, the oversight office of the federal government, The SSA's numbers fail to account for illegal Mexican immigrants that will be eligible for benefits. To make the numbers even more suspect, they make no allowance for the fact that, once details of this gold mine come to light, Mexicans will come racing over the borders in even greater numbers than they do now.

Are there any good things at all to come from this agreement? Sure, there are. About 3,000 U.S. workers will save their employers about $140 million in Mexican Social Security taxes in the first years after the agreement takes effect. Wowee!! It's lookin' better all the time!

About the only good news is that this agreement hasn't taken effect yet. After the Bush Administration submits the agreement to Congress, there will be a 60 day window, after which the agreement becomes binding. Congress must adopt a counter agreement to deny the totalization agreement or you can kiss goodbye the meager Social Security benefits you stand to get at this point. Contact your congressional representative before it's too late.



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June 28, 2006

Deficit Spending – It Works for the Feds, Why Not You Too?

federal_budget_chart.jpgWe all love spending money. Face it, it's a lot of fun. You can buy cool, new stuff, go fun places and generally feel good about yourself. That's exactly how those in the federal government act too. They have to appease the thousands of constituent groups that can get them back to the promised land inside the beltway. Toward this end, they buy cool, new stuff, go fun places, and generally feel good about themselves. A quick look back at the administrations of the past 40 years reveals that there were precious few years that there was actually a federal budget surplus. According to the United States Office of Management and Budget, there have been only 5 years since 1966 that there was a budget surplus. These years are 1969 and 1998 – 2001. Ouch!

In absolute dollars, 2006 is shaping up to be the worst in federal budget deficit in U.S. history, with a projected deficit, according to the OMB, of over $423T! That's a huge chunk of change, but in terms of our GDP, it's not all that bad, compared to some years in the past. Our GDP has risen rather dramatically in the past few years, so $423T only(!) represents 3.2% of the GDP. In 1992 we spent 4.7%, in 1985 it was 5.1%, and in 1983 our government spent an astounding 6.0% of the GDP trying to placate the people!

You can look to the Feds as an example and conclude “Why not just charge up the ole' VISA, get that makeover I deserve, and head to Cancun for a couple of weeks?” The difference is that you don't print your own currency (at least I hope you don't!), don't have the support of the international banking system, and don't have the benefit of billions of dollars in international trade in which to hide behind. In addition, it's a whole lot easier for a country to get people to bend the rules a bit. In fact, it's how the rules of international finance are constructed. For years, the U.S. was able to get away with this in part because we had trade surpluses in most years. Starting in the mid 1970's that advantage evaporated. We now show a cumulative trade deficit of over $6T.

In much the same way as you feel great when you're spending money, even if you're burning plastic, on average the U.S. actually has stronger economic indicators in years that we're running larger trade deficits. Money is flowing out of the country at a prodigious rate. Just as many Americans have achieved the status of credit driven uberconsumers, America as a nation has done likewise. As a nation we can sustain that for a time. As an individual, you can too, but as an individual, your personal consequences will be much more immediate and direct.

You can cash out refinance and pay off your debt. You can get a debt consolidation loan to get rid of the high interest credit cards. You can do these, and other things, and get out of the woods for a while. There are lots of tricks for getting your head above water. One thing you should do ASAP is get out of your ARM, if you have one. That neat little gimmick for getting homeowners into the largest McMansion they can afford is going to be responsible for a wave of foreclosures when the interest rates rise. In the end, though, you must control your spending. This can't be stated emphatically enough. Do whatever is required. You may have to make a rather severe lifestyle change. It's analogous to a diet. You can't go on a diet to lose weight, you'll just go back to your old ways again. It's the same with spending. You have to make a lifestyle change.

While the country can have a policy of deficit spending, you, as an individual, cannot. It will catch up to you, and the consequences will be catastrophic. Let's hope that isn't true for the U.S.A. as well.

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June 27, 2006

Should the United Nations Determine Your Civil Rights?

U.N. flag.jpgAustralia, Brazil, Canada, Germany, Belgium, Cambodia, Croatia, Mexico, South Africa and Britain. What do these countries have in common? They may have a say in your constitutional rights as an American citizen. All the above are either signatories or have ratified the UN Firearms Protocol. As the UN meets in New York to move this proposal forward, you have to ask yourself “I may like some of these countries, but do I want them having a say in my constitutional rights as an American citizen?” This protocol would give the UN broad powers to regulate private firearms ownership in signatory nations. As a smokescreen, the U.N. Has stated they have no designs on private firearms ownership in individual member states.

This is simply poppycock. Kofi Annan not withstanding, other delegates were much more forthcoming. Stated the Indonesian representative “We believe that no armed group outside of the State should be allowed to bear weapons. We also believe that regulating civilian possession of Small Arms/Light Weapons will enhance our efforts to prevent its misuse. In our view, the issue of ammunition should also be addressed in the context of the Program of Action because in the absence of ammunition, small arms and light weapons pose no danger.” Similar sentiments were voiced by other nations such as Australia, Brazil and Britain, although without the clearcut sense of purpose that the Indonesians displayed. Brazil attempted to ban private firearms ownership last year, but failed.

Conference chairman Prasad Kariyawasam stated 'Contrary to what people say, especially in (the United States), this conference and program of action is not aiming to ban individual use of firearms if they are held legally,'. The problem is that this Protocol would enable any future U.S. President to term the Protocol an agreement, rather than a treaty. This future president now could bypass the 2/3 majority currently required for passage of legislation requiring U.S. citizens to be bound by its constraints. Presto! Now firearms in the U.S. would not be held legally, and thus qualify as illegal and be subject to the U.N. Mandate.

In theory, our constitution could not be circumvented by such an agreement, however, it would render the 2nd Amendment perilously close to abolition by an international body. It would be another step in the U.N., rather than your legally elected representative, with global control over one aspect of your life. You may not care about the 2nd Amendment. In fact, you may agree, in principle, with those gathered on our soil, as we speak, discussing the your civil and constitutional rights. You may, in fact, dislike and fear private firearm ownership. You may believe, as do those in so many other nations, that firearms ownership is the province of the military and police, not private citizens.

You may feel all of those things. However, if you examine the big picture, you will come to the realization your personal feelings vis-a-vis the 2nd Amendment are missing the broader issue. The issue is weather or not we, as U.S. citizens, want unelected representatives of other nations deciding our fate in any measure. Maybe you feel it would be more appropriate, in this day and age, if we had a single governing body for the entire globe. There are many today who echo these sentiments.

You should reflect for a while on who you would be entrusting your future to. Many of these nations don't have core beliefs in any way close to those of our citizens. They have never had our freedoms, and they certainly do not have a cherished document guaranteeing them. Many of these countries sanction, either officially, or through callous disregard, such things as honor killings, female mutilation, torture, and a lack of private property rights or just rule of law. Do we want nations with such a value system having a hand in deciding the future direction of our great nation? I say not. There are too many diverse belief systems in the world to force conformity to a single governing body that attempts to adequately represent all the world's citizens. You may not give a whit about your second Amendment rights. You may actually hope they are taken away. Be careful what you wish for. The next right you lose to an unelected, international body may be one you do care about.



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June 24, 2006

Success is at Your Doorstep

carnegie_manufacturing_plant.jpgAmericans are lucky. Face it. America is the only country in the world where poor people are fat. We’re not talking a few over, either. We’re talking way overweight. In most countries around the world, the poor are lucky to get something to eat, much less enough to make them obese. Something else to differentiate the poor in America from the poverty stricken around the globe is the TVs, and the cars, and the DVD players, and the satellite dishes, and the furniture, and the cigarettes, and the….well, you get the picture. Even the poor in America seem to have an awful lot of stuff. They eat at restaurants, for god’s sake. So what if it’s only the two tacos for $.99 at Jack in the Box.

The point is that we’re lucky to be in a land of unbridled opportunity. Even poor in America you’ve got it better than anywhere else in the world, especially if you want to be successful. Almost anyone can rise from the most humble origins to become CEO of a Fortune 500 company. Andrew Carnegie, one of the richest men of the last century, began as a messenger for Western Union.

John H. Johnson was born in a poor town in Arkansas in 1918. His father died when he was eight years old. His mom was a cook, and saved her money so they could move to a place with more opportunity and better schools for her children. Her son went on to found Johnson Publishing Co., a business empire with interests in publishing and cosmetics. They have offices in New York, Los Angeles, Washington, DC, Detroit, London and Paris. Last year, they had gross sales of $412 million.

Oprah Winfrey began poor, living on a farm with her grandmother. She had a rough childhood, suffering sexual abuse and being sent to juvenile detention when she was 13. Through guts, vision and perseverance, she’s now the head of one of the most successful media companies in the world. She was the first black woman in the nation to become a billionaire.

You’ve all heard of Sam Walton and probably shopped in one of his more than 6,000 super sized discount stores. He started out the child of a farmer who was so poor, he had to quit and get another job so he could feed his family. That’s poor. Sam had a modest start, delivering newspapers and milking cows. He ended up revolutionizing retailing. It took determination, vision and lots of extremely hard work. He put himself through the University of Missouri by again delivering newspapers and bussing tables in exchange for a meal.

Upon graduation, he had an entry level position at JC Penny, making a paltry $75/week. After a stint in the military during WWII, he parlayed his knowledge of retailing gained at JC Penny, a loan from his father in law, and his military savings into a small retail store franchise that was quite successful. After selling this, he began the chain of stores that would one day become Wal-Mart, and make Sam a billionaire.

All of these people grew from poverty to become business titans, revolutionizing their respective industries. They did this in different eras, but had some things in common. First of all, they were determined. They had drive like a Kenworth down a mountain road with no brakes; virtually unstoppable. Starting from nothing, you do little without perseverance. You must get started and then never stop. For most successful people, getting started wasn’t the problem. They were driven to succeed, and wouldn’t know how not to move forward.

They got an education. There are many tales of success by those without one, but the percentages side with those who do. It’s not only about what you learn in books, but what you learn from the people you meet, and the contacts they provide you throughout your life that are important.

They had vision. You need to see the future and what you can do to make it better. The vision on how you can do something better, shift the paradigm, or do something that’s never been done, is essential to true success.

No excuses. There is a path to success for everyone. Now, get moving.

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June 23, 2006

Terrorist Attack Effects on the Stock Market

We all know uncertainties contribute to market declines. I stated as much in my post about Islamic terrorists on June 22. That got me thinking. Do individual terrorist events cause market problems? To find out, I looked at some major terrorist attacks around the world, starting with the Munich Olympic attack in 1972 and how they affected the Dow Jones Industrial Average. I looked at the market the day before the attack, and then at 1 week, 2 weeks and 1 year after. I didn't take into account any other world events or economic conditions. The conclusion from this admittedly cursory analysis? With the exception of the September 11th attack on the Pentagon and the World Trade center, each caused a minor or no effect on the DJIA. Sometimes the market even rose. So take that, you terrorist bastards!

See the results here – Terrorist Attack Effects on the Stock Market.

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Common Mistakes in Becoming Debt Free

credit cards.jpg There are many mistakes people make when aiming for that laudable goal of becoming debt free. Here are some of the more common ones.

1) Closing Accounts Once They Are Paid Off – Many people close their credit card accounts as they pay them off. Don’t do this. One of the components of your credit score is the ratio of your outstanding debt to the aggregate of your available credit limit. If you have a large amount of available credit and very little or no debt, it will add to your credit score. In addition, the amount of time the accounts have been open will lengthen your credit history, which will also help raise your credit score. If you close your accounts, you can hurt your credit score. Unless the cards have high annual fees, don’t close them. If you don’t want to use them, cut them up.

2) Not Changing Spending Habits – If the money keeps going out at the same rate that got you into debt in the first place, logic dictates the problem will continue. Use the ole noodle! You’ve got to change your lifestyle. It may hurt in the short term to not take expensive vacations or have the latest consumer goods, but those things are luxuries you simply can not afford.

You need to be creative. Go camping somewhere you can drive to in a few hours for a vacation. Look for good, used appliances if you need a new washer or dryer. It may be relaxing to have those Friday dinners out, away from your kids. You may really look forward to it all week long, as your boss harangues you relentlessly. But things like that can add up fast. Once you pay for dinner, a sitter, parking and gas, you could easily be out $75.00 - $100.00. That money would better spent right now to pay down your credit cards. Just treat your boss like that guy on the cereal commercial and don’t listen.

3) Being Penny Wise and Pound Foolish – Saving money is great and a key component of becoming debt free. After all, every dollar you don’t spend is like getting a raise for that amount. That strategy can be taken too far, however. Being a cheapskate on some things can come back to cost you big time later.

For example, don’t skimp on maintenance for your car. While such things may seem expensive, it could set you up for a whopper of a bill later. Not changing the oil or having services performed at recommended intervals could not only leave you stranded with a major repair, it could void your car’s warrantee, leaving you stuck with the bill. For example, the transmission in most modern cars will set you back $3,000 - $5,000 if it needs to be replaced. Most people don't have that kind of money just laying around. Likewise, running the tires so they're as smooth as Mr. Magoo's head could cause a major accident, so don't do it. Health care is another place where being cheap now can cost you big time later. It would be a shame to skip your checkup only to miss catching a serious health problem. Medical bills cause over half of all bankruptcies. Don’t let that happen to you, if you can possibly avoid it.

4) Choosing the Wrong Repayment Strategy – There are many ways to pay off your debt. You can get a debt consolidation loan to eliminate your credit card payments, then pay off the consolidation loan. You can use the difference to contribute to your emergency fund. You do have one of those, right? As I’ve discussed before, this method can be attractive, but is not without risk. In addition, if you choose this method, pay off the consolidation loan early if at all possible. Stretching out a consolidation loan to the full term can cost you bundle in interest, even though the interest rate is comparatively low.

Another option is to simply continue paying your debts down as you are doing now. A mistake here is not paying them down fast enough. Again, this will cost you a bundle in interest. Make sure you make a monthly budget if you choose this method. After you make the budget, stick to it! It doesn’t do any good if you just treat it as a general guideline.

If you avoid some of the pitfalls, you can get out of debt. Look carefully at your personal situation. Devise a strategy that will work for you. Most likely this will be a combination of techniques. The three main points to remember are:


1) Control Your Spending – Vitally important, this may require a substantial lifestyle change.


2) Maximize Your Income – Can be easier said than done. Work overtime, get a second job, start a small business you can begin with little money(Hard to do). Remember, every extra dollar you make and contribute to eliminating your debt is multiplies because you are also eliminating future interest payments.


3) Eliminate High Interest Debt First – You have to look not only at the interest rate, but also at the amount of the debt. For example, if you have a credit card with a 22% interest rate, but only an $800 balance, and another card with a lower, 18.9% interest rate, but a $10,000 balance, work on the $10,000 card first.

Remember, you can get out of debt. Set goals, stay focused, never quit.

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June 22, 2006

Irony From the Terrorists

dead terrorist.jpgIt’s ironic that the extremist, militant, Islamic leaders scream for their followers to “resist the invaders” as they put it, because the foreigners have a history of denigrating Islam. As Al-Qaeda’s number two man, Ayman al-Zawahri, called for such resistance in his latest video, the irony of such a position apparently escaped him. Al-Zawahri, and others of his ilk, derives their power by denigrating every other religion and philosophical belief system except for their very fundamental version of Islam. As extremist Islamic groups continue to poison the well of ideology with their amorality and complete disregard for human life, the rest of the world, and especially the Islamic faith, must unite to banish such repugnants and their doctrine of violent intolerance. If we fail in this regard, we will be sentenced to a future of violence and unrest.

These are not driven by poverty and socio-economic status. They are not propelled by a desire to obtain just treatment for them and those of their faith. They are motivated purely by the need to dominate the minds of all of humanity, once again ironic, as it could be argued they are, themselves, inhuman. They have a long history of using violence to both promote their causes and achieve their agendas. This will only cease to exist, if they, themselves, do likewise. We are not going back to life as it was in the tenth century. The Islamofacists need to face that reality and contribute to society, rather than trying to destroy it.

How does this affect you in your daily life and the desire for financial security? It contributes to uncertainty. Uncertainty is the enemy of markets world wide. If you have any holdings that are influenced by happenings overseas, keep a sharp eye on the news as it pertains to international events. The reality is that, you, as an individual, can do little to combat the scourge of fundamentalist terrorists. Given that is the case, it’s best to just hang on to a bit of rage over their behavior and the fact they want you dead simply for what you believe. Just keep your house in order and persevere in your daily life.

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June 20, 2006

Get a Healthy Tax Deduction? You'd Better Check First

old car.jpgIt sounds like a great idea; you give that old, rusting, P.O.S. you’re currently using as a weed haven to a charity and get a nice tax deduction. This is another case of looking before you leap. Because of recent changes in the tax code wrought by U.S. (HR 4520), section 731, you can’t always get what you think. In the past, it was pretty simple, you had them haul away old Betsy and you got a clean yard and a deduction for the fair market value of the car. The car was valued as if it was in working order, which it may or may not have been. These changes apply only to vehicles valued at over $500 for the purposes of your deduction and took effect in Jan. of last year. 

4520 changed this procedure just a wee bit. Now, unless the charity actually uses the vehicle for, and this is important, tax approved, charitable work, you can only claim the gross amount they sell you vehicle for. In addition, it is their responsibility to inform you of this amount upon completion of the sale. As you can see, this approach is fraught with uncertainty for you.

First of all, you’ve got no idea what this amount will be at the time you donate the car. Because of this, you don’t know the amount of the future sale at the time of donation, you don’t know, from a tax perspective, if the car is even worth donating. You may be far better off to sell the vehicle yourself, or give it to your brother in law with the old John Deere and the T-bucket in exchange for a side of beef.

Second, you must wait for the charity to provide you with timely notification. This is important, because you must have this documentation before you file your taxes for the year in which you will claim the deduction.

Before you make any donation, be sure you are donating to a registered, 501(c)(3) organization. These organizations are specifically allowed by the IRS to accept donations and in exchange for a tax deduction. You don’t want to run afoul of the IRS by trying to claim a deduction to which you’re not entitled.

There are also new documentation procedures you must follow in order to claim your tax deduction. Obviously, your life isn’t complete unless you have more IRS documentation to contend with. I’m willing to bet that charities that depend heavily on donated vehicles as a source of funds aren’t too thrilled by this turn of events. Be sure you verify everything with a qualified tax advisor before you claim your deduction. So, before you “make room for that new car you deserve”, make sure that you realize the tax consequences of the donation.

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June 19, 2006

Your Financial Health - Get It, Save It, Protect It

dollars.jpgYou can get debt free, but if you truly want to stay debt free, there are many things you can do to ensure that you live a financially healthy lifestyle. Some of the most important ways you can stay financially healthy are these:
  • Create a budget – It's very difficult to just wing it on this one. It's similar to starting a business with no business plan, something else all to many people attempt. To really see where you spend money every month, you have to have a written budget. That Excel sheet in your head doesn't cut it. There's an old saying in business; Fail to plan and you plan to fail. It's similar here.

  • Spend less than you make – It sounds pretty simple. The logic on this one is hard to defy. It's kind of like losing weight. Take in fewer calories than you burn and your weight goes down. Unfortunately, too many people use a similar strategy when spending their financial resources. It's supposed to be the other way around. Spend less than you make and your savings and investment balance goes up. It's much easier to accomplish this if you've created the budget recommended above.

    Take a good look at your priorities. Do you really need the new dub dubs for that car you probably shouldn't have bought either? Ditto the new HD-DVD player, even if the picture is fantastic. If you really must have one, at least wait until they come down in price. If you've gotten all your goseintas and goseottas actually written down, you can spot those little leaks that can fly under the radar. Some of these smaller expenses can add up to a pretty substantial number.

  • Have an emergency fund - Let's face it. Sh*t happens. You may be pretty damn lucky and it hasn't happened to you yet, but the odds are it will some day. Home repairs, car repairs, and medical, job, or legal problems can all conspire to derail your carefully planned financial health. If you've got a few under the mattress, you can usually escape the worst of many of these problems.

  • Take advantage of whatever retirement savings plan your employer offers, especially if it includes matching funds. - This is a real no brainer. Too many people, especially younger ones, leave this money on the table. That's completely crazy. If you're are in sales, you know you never leave money on the table, if you can avoid it. It's free money, for god's sake! Take it. If your employer offers a 50% match on whatever funds you contribute, that's a 50% return your first year, right off the top, even if the investment goes nowhere. To make it even more attractive, you get that money tax free. (You may have to pay taxes when you take it out, depending upon the investment) That rate is pretty hard to beat. I've actually heard people say “I don't want them to take that money from me every month.” You dumb ass! They're not taking it from you. They're setting it aside for you, in an interest bearing investment with your name on it, and to top it off, they're chipping in some of their own money too. It's like getting a raise. When was the last time you turned down one of those?

  • Be properly insured. - Too many bankruptcies are caused by medical problems or disabilities. In 2004, over 797,000 of the almost 1.6 million bankruptcies were caused by medical problems. Having medical insurance is no guarantee against bankruptcy here, as a recent Harvard University study found that, in 2001, 68% of those who filed medical bankruptcies had medical insurance. To help out here, you can sometimes get supplemental insurance, such as AFLAC, through your employer. This is great for covering out of pocket expenses associated with lengthy hospital stays and other medically induced financial hardship. To make it even better, you can pay for this type of insurance with pre-tax dollars, making it effectively 20% - 35% more affordable. Don't neglect disability insurance either. This can get pretty pricey, but you are more likely to need this when you are young than life insurance. 12,000 people a week file for long term disability from social security. In most cases, you don't get nearly enough to live on from social security disability, so you need to supplement it with a private policy.

     There are many other things you can do to ensure your long term financial health. This is just a start. Remember. when it comes to money, you need to make it, save it and protect it. This is the key to your long term financial health.


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June 16, 2006

Tax Cuts - They Cost You Money????

IRS form 1040.jpgQuick, say “the Economic Growth and Tax Relief and Reconciliation Act of 2001”. It's quite a mouth full, which is why most people say either “the Bush tax cuts” or “the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans”, depending on which side of the isle you sit on. Notice “the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest Americans” is still quite a mouthful. That's really not important right now. What is important is that the economy has actually grown in the intervening 5 years to the point that, even as tax rates have fallen, total tax revenue has actually risen. According to the Congressional Budget Office, in 2003 individual income taxes brought in $793.7B to federal coffers. That figure increased to $927.2B last year.

The Dems like to express tax cuts in how much they cost. The fact is, they don't cost, they save. If they were looking at it from the point of the people actually paying taxes, instead of those spending them, they'd see that.  That is a fundamental difference, and it would be nice if more people stated it that way. Tax increases on the taxpayer should be stated in terms of how much they cost you and me. It's sad commentary that the tax picture continues to be misstated this way. The mainstream(?) media perpetuates the sham by using the “cost” phraseology in lock step with those on the hill.

Think about it this way. If you get a raise, you think about it in terms of how much more you have to spend. It's kind of like Congress. I guarantee the source of those funds, your boss, thinks of it in quite the opposite way. You and I are the source of funds for the federal budget. When tax rates go up, it costs us. When the go down, it saves us, not the other way around.
 
$8,375,365,051,008.48 - That's one huge number. It's our national debt, as of June 14th, 2006. Unfortunately, it's trending the wrong way, due to a government that spends cash like a sex addict in a whorehouse. I know, it's a Republican controlled Congress. That makes it all the sadder. Some of you will say “It's all because of the war in Iraq” Blah!, Blah!, Blah! Quit your whining. As a percentage of the GDP, we're actually spending less than half of what we spent on defense before the Vietnam war(over 9% then to 4% in Fiscal 2005).  We spend that money on various things, the largest of which is Social Security and Medicare. Sadly, interest on the federal debt is the fourth largest line item in the federal budget. People say that the deficit is down and we should rejoice. That only means we are sinking into debt at a slower rate than we were before, not a great reason to celebrate. Real cause for celebration would be an actual budget surplus.

If you ran your finances that way, you'd stay in debt forever too. You would, however, pay for retirement for your extended family, give them some sort of health insurance when they retired, have a really cool stash of great guns and a Hummer, give a ton of money to low income members of the community, and have a huge credit card bill. The interest on that bill alone would pretty much guarantee you'd stay impoverished forever, and it doesn't bode well for the future financial health of the United States either.

Too many people actually do live a version of that scenario, but substitute cool vacations, new plasma TVs, and  BMWs. That propelled outstanding consumer debt in this country to a record $2.17T at the end of 2005, according to the Fed. That is over double what it was just 10 years earlier. We're building a really nice house of cards. Let's hope it doesn't all come tumbling down. Do your part and try to reign in your credit card balance. You'll thank yourself in the future.
 

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June 14, 2006

The AMT – If You're Not Scared, You Damn Well Should Be!

IRS headquarters.jpgThe year was 1969. There was Free Love, the Hait, cheap gas, cars with big V-8s, and a growing unrest in America. Lurking in the background was what became one of the most insidious pieces of legislation ever to be perpetrated upon the American people. The country was focused on the war in Vietnam, and apparently, the 155 Americans that made over $200,000 in 1966, but paid no income taxes. Dutifully, our Congress decided that the injustice must be fixed.

Ironically, this would cause normal Americans 40 years hence to be oppressed by a tax code that has been periodically altered, but never indexed for inflation. In case anybody has been asleep since the '60's (possible, given the predilection of some during that time for recreational pharmaceuticals), prices have actually increased. In addition to never being indexed, it has been changed from its original form to be far more broad. This had had the effect of catching millions of those never intended. If you think this can't happen to you, think again. According to the Congressional Joint Economic Committee Study of 2001, it is estimated that by 2010, a staggering 17 million individual income tax returns will trigger the AMT. Obviously, with a number that large, most of those taxpayers will be average citizens. Note that the massive number doesn't include the corporate AMT, it's only individual tax filers like you and (hopefully not) me.

If you are one of those unlucky citizens to be snared in this net, you can attest to the fact that the IRS will take everything. You say you didn't even make $300,000 last year, you only made $82,000? Too damn bad, because you owe $300,000 in AMT, and it's due RIGHT NOW! You better cash out your retirement savings(ironically, the tax consequences of that could cause you to owe far more), sell your house, and pull the kids out of college. That sort of nightmare has afflicted more Americans every year. To make matters far worse, most of those are just normal Americans with middle class incomes; like you.

According to their 1967 federal income tax returns, 15,667 Americans raked in over $200,000. That was a pretty large chunk of change in 1967. The one percent of those people that avoided any tax liability that year really f***ed with the wrong marine. Americans that had actually paid their fair share of taxes were pretty pissed off after this little injustice came to light during congressional testimony. Congressional members, wanting to quiet their constituency, and bring in some extra tax revenues at the same time, decided to take action. Notice they didn't cut everyone else's taxes to make up for the amount gained by the AMT, they just added the extra money to the Federal budget.

One of the largest problems with the AMT, outside of the fact that affects so many Americans it was never intended to, is that it's extremely complicated. Even many financial planners don't have a great idea as to how different events can trigger AMT provisions. To make matters worse one small misstep can trigger a series of events that can culminate in you losing everything to the IRS and still owing them more money than your total income over the previous five years. It's an egregious erosion of the average American's civil rights. The complexity leads to a very high cost of compliance for the taxpayer as well. Normally it costs about 2% of tax revenue generated to file federal income taxes. If the AMT is triggered, that number more than doubles.

As an additional slap in the face of the American taxpayer, after adjusting the original $200,000 income figure upwards for inflation, as the IRS has failed to do, there are actually more individuals above the threshold not paying any federal income tax than in 1969! What a crock. So, not only has the AMT completely failed in its original mission, it has imperiled millions of average Americans in the process. If you're not riled up yet, consider this. According to the aforementioned congressional study, only one extra tax payer was added to federal tax rolls for every 6,600 already paying taxes! Everyone else subject to the AMT was already paying taxes.

This whole mess could have been eliminated. The Taxpayer Refund and Relief Act of 1999 (106th Congress, H.R. 2488) actually phased out the AMT beginning in 1997 and ending in 1999. It was passed by both the House and Senate but vetoed by President Clinton as a “risky tax cut” that would actually increase taxes for many Americans. Way to go, Bill! I wonder how those 17 million taxpayers who will be subject to the AMT in 2010 feel about that? I'm willing to bet most of those would long for that “risky tax cut”. Write you congressional representative and Senator today and urge them to repeal this heinous piece of legislation before it's too late!

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June 12, 2006

Why Boring Stocks Can Be Oh So Sexy

Hershey Bar.jpgTech and other hyper growth stocks are kind of like those friends you used to have before you got older and more responsible. They could be a blast to hang out with, but you never knew when they were going to get you in a heap of trouble. Now, you presumably don't have the desire to be in the back of that crazy guy's Camaro drinking Bud talls, taking bong hits, and speeding around town in search of the next party any more. As the smoke from the burning BF Goodrich T/As clears a bit, you're probably looking for something with a good bit of upside without the hair raising element of being inebriated in the back of Spike's muscle car, bouncing through the desert. As we look back on it, many of us made it through the dot bomb era with the same sense of relief we got after getting through our high school and college years. We may have had the crap scared out of us a few times, but at least we made it through in more or less one piece.

Here's something you may have thought about with the same frequency you entertained the thought of staying home and studying on Friday night; boring stocks that actually pay great dividends. In the old days, that was how many of our parents actually made their investments pay off. Somewhere along the line, that just seemed too boring. Why get a few cents a share when you could get explosive growth. After all, it's kind of cool to watch your shares go from $4.00 to $25.00. It gives you kind of rush; similar to what you got sitting in the back of Spike's Camaro with super hot Suzy from 4th period English, and a bottle of malt liquor. The problem is that the vast majority of your equities have even less of a chance to make those kind of gains than you did of getting into Suzy's pants.

Where does that leave you? Probably with a bit of a hangover and a sense of frustration. Fear not. You just need to look in a different direction. “Well, what about boring stocks that pay great dividends?” you may be asking. I'm glad you brought it up. If you actually plot the gains you can make from such investments, it's actually greater in many cases than what you can obtain from growth stocks. In addition, you don't have to incur that feeling in the pit of your stomach. The key is reinvestment of your dividends.

The real gems are found by looking at companies that have a low stock price, but still pay great dividends. There are many firms that fit that picture. They are fairly profitable, and have solid fundamentals, but for whatever reason, have been overlooked by many investors. That allows you to reinvest your healthy dividends buy buying fairly cheap shares of the company. In time, your portfolio will grow to mind boggling proportions using this strategy.

Many companies will even allow you to participate in a direct stock purchase / dividend reinvestment plan. Hershey Company for example, you know, the chocolate people, will allow you to start such a program with a minimum of 1 share and $25.00 a month. The best part is that many of these companies provide impressive returns. Only $500 invested in Hershey in 1980 for example, would have bought 20 shares of class B common stock. This would now be now be worth, sit down, $27,164.00! Hershey has had 4 stock splits since 1980, leaving you with 489 shares today. The best part is that $27,164 does not even factor in the effects of dividend reinvestment. Over the last 10 years, Hershey has paid dividends averaging almost $0.61/share/year. If you'd reinvested all dividends since 1980, you'd get to take advantage of the stock splits over the intervening years.

If you'd only managed to purchase a average of 4 shares a year as a result of dividend reinvestment, you would have managed to amass an additional 368 shares, thanks to the stock splits. So you grand total shares of Hershey stock would number 857! Those 857 shares were worth, at the close of business Friday, $55.46 each. Your little $500 investment in 1980 would now be worth $47,529.22! If you'd only taken that graduation gift and bought a few shares of a chocolate company instead of flying around town spending it on booze and doobies, you'd be so much better off today! The lesson is that, just because a stock doesn't seem like it's sexy, with tons of growth potential, it may still give you amazing returns. Pick solid companies that may be a bit undervalued but pay good dividends and reinvest those dividends. You may be surprised to wake up rich one of these days.

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June 09, 2006

Customer Satisfaction – Spend Your Money Where It Will Make You Happy

dollar.jpgCompetition for your dollars these days is fierce. It feels like every time you want make a purchase, you're running a gauntlet of merchants and service providers with their meaty paws out, trying to rip your wallet from your sweaty digits. Obviously, you want to make the most of every purchase. One of the keys to long term financial freedom is to control your spending. Given you are probably making at least an attempt to live a life of relative financial responsibility, you're going to try and maximize your purchasing power. A key component of this is customer satisfaction. After all, if your experience with a vendor was total crap, either because the product didn't meet your needs or they had poor customer service, you'll have to either purchase a different product, or contact customer service in a (possibly futile) attempt to rectify the situation. This means you are wasting two of your most precious resources; money and your valuable time.

In order to point your in the proper direction, here is a list of some merchants with high, recent customer satisfaction scores.

One very important category, near and dear to my heart, and probably yours, is food. According to the American Customer Satisfaction Index, compiled by the University of Michigan, fast food and quick service restaurants were paced by Papa John's pizza. Now, eating out all the time is a sure way to spend far more than you have to. This is not good for long term financial success, but there are those times when you've just got to grab a quick bite and don't feel like cleaning the kitchen.

No surprise, but the American Customer Satisfaction Index (ACSI) ranks wireless telephone providers as below the national average in customer satisfaction. Be that as it may, you probably have a cell phone, and are unlikely to give it up any time soon. If you plan on switching providers soon, or just have to get the latest Motorola/Nokia/Samsung Phone/PDA/Camera/foot massager, Verizon and T-Mobile ranked highest in the ASCI's customer satisfaction index for the first quarter of 2006. Cingular ranked lowest. I guess customer satisfaction measures more than dropped calls.

Okay, so maybe financial freedom has already found its way into your life, and you want the latest blingmobile to impress the chickies at the local club. You should run down to your local Lincoln Mercury dealer and drop a wad of cash on the 2006 Lincoln Navigator. Make sure you slap a set of Dubs on it ASAP! According to auto industry research firm AutoPacific in a survey released last month, the 'Gator was tops in overall satisfaction. If you're on the more practical side of luxury, the new, 2006 Hyundai Azzera pulled in honors as the highest ranked car. If high gas prices don't bother you, or you've got to get your quad to the dunes, check out Nissan's Titan pickup. It snagged the highest customer satisfaction rating among pickups.

If you're traveling and would rather ride than walk or take the bus, know that the Market Metrix Hospitality Index ranks Enterprise Car Rental tops in customer satisfaction. Even better, they'll bring the car to you if you need to rent in your home town.

When you get to your destination, stop in to a Microtel Inns & Suites hotel. Both Market Metrix and JD Power scored them tops in their segment in the latest customer satisfaction surveys. Trying to garner as many such awards as possible, Microtel also received the 2005 "Extra Mile Award" from Arthur Frommer's Budget Travel Magazine.

If you're staying home to watch the latest episode of “So You Think You Can Dance”, we've got to have a talk. If you really must watch all the carnage, make sure the signal is finding it's way to your TV through a DirecTV satellite receiver, because they received the highest marks for customer satisfaction among satellite and cable TV providers according to the ASCI.

If you make purchases on line, you'll want to stop by Amazon.com and Netflix.com. They led the way among Internet retailers in a customer satisfaction survey of 8,500 Internet shoppers conducted by ForeSee Results and FGI Research .

Of course your freakin' call may be recorded for customer satisfaction purposes, but at least the NSA impersonation must be working at Qwest Communications, because they recorded the highest customer satisfaction scores among directory assistance providers. This is from a recent survey performed by Paisley National Directory Assistance for their Performance Index.

Hopefully this little post will assist you in determining where to spend your hard earned dollars.


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June 08, 2006

Don't Get Taken When You Buy a New Car

Porsche GT3.jpgMost people dread it, and with good reason; you’re at a big disadvantage. It can feel like you’re a new fish in the yard. I’m talking about making a trip to a new car dealer to pick up your latest 300hp, depreciating asset. Although some may enjoy the witty banter and glib one liners provided by the typical automobile sales consultant, most find the whole procedure about as distasteful as explaining to your boss why you were having a party with his wife in his office. Ah, but there are ways to arm yourself, so you can shut them down when they try to perpetrate one of their many scams on you. Not to say all car dealers are dishonest, on the contrary, there are many reputable dealerships out there. But on the (not too small) chance you saunter into one of the others, here are some of the tricks you can find yourself up against.

Remember this question; “If I could, would you?” It’s the question almost all car salespeople try to boil the negotiation down to. Insert whatever pushes your buttons into the previous question. Basically “If I could get you into that car for nothing down and only $289 a month, would you drive it out of here today?” A great sales person will be able to find out all sorts of information about you during the initial conversation and test drive. They’ll use that info to frame the question in such a way that will get you to agree. In the time leading up to the inevitable question, they try to get you to answer “yes” to a variety of other questions so that when they pop the big one, you’ll be in the habit of saying yes, and really, what’s one more time? 

A lot of the tricks you’ll find at the dealer are concerned with credit and financing. This is where the dealer makes a good portion of their profit. You didn’t think they could support 100 employees, their inventory carrying cost and that spanking, new building, when they sell their cars for a few percent over cost did you? In many cases, it’s all about the financing. The car is just a vehicle to sell you a financial product. The favorite financial product of many dealers is the retail installment sales contract or (RISC). This is then sold to a financial institution. This is known as “selling the paper” and is common practice in many types of financing.  The higher the interest rate the dealer can make you pay, the more profit they make when they sell the contract.

You should always secure financing before visiting the dealer, unless you have great credit and are going to take advantage of low, or no, interest financing from the auto manufacturers. Be advised, these deals are “upon approval of credit” and many can not get them. Don’t get sucked in. Know your credit score before you visit the dealership & don’t let them tell you the number you got from Experian or Equifax is wrong, because some will try. If you do finance at the dealer, take a financial or loan amortization calculator so you can figure the interest rate you’ll really be paying. You’ll be surprised.

Here is a list of some other tricks you’ll be facing:

  • Your financing didn’t go through – Can you come down and resign your loan paperwork? Many car deals are OAC, even if they initially let you drive off the lot with the car. After you’ve really gotten to love it, they’ll let you know you’re not approved and you need to change the terms of the financing you thought you got the car for.
  • We don’t take checks from those online lenders or credit unions. Although there has been an upsurge in cashier’s check fraud, the checks from the major online lenders don’t bounce. It’s just a line the sales person is feeding you to get you to finance the car at the dealership.
  • Selling salvage titled cars “as is” – Reputable dealers won’t try to pull this, but watch out! Where do think all the flood damaged cars from Katrina ended up? Use CarFax on any car you purchase to ensure its vehicle history. Most used cars are sold “as is” and that clause makes it extremely hard to win if you try to defeat a dealer in court. They can afford the best lawyers, trust me.
  • “I’ve got to talk to my sales manager” – This is the standard negotiating technique. Normally, the salesperson actually does have to get the sales manager’s approval. Be prepared, however, to see a higher offer when the salesperson returns. They may even try to get you into at the same payment at a longer term or, if you weren’t paying attention, a higher interest rate. Too many people buy because the dealer can get them the payment they want, not the total price they want to pay.

Three things you can do to keep from getting stung are – Have the car inspected by a mechanic, Get a CARFAX vehicle history report, and Secure financing before you ever get to the dealership. If you do go through the dealership for financing, make sure you know your credit score and have a financial or loan amortization calculator with you.

You car is one of your largest purchases. It can be a day you wish you were cleaning the bees nest out of your attic instead of sitting in that chair. Even worse, you could leave, completely happy with your dynamite new ride, totally oblivious to the fact they scammed you sixteen ways from Sunday. It’s your choice.

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June 06, 2006

How Could You Buy Twice As Much Stuff?

credit cards.jpgFirst of all, a moment of thanks for those incredibly brave men, 62 years ago today, that overcame their fears and fierce German fire to successfully establish a beachhead in France. Their bravery and determination changed the course of history and paved the way for our success, both personally and nationally, that followed.

Experian, our friends in the credit reporting business, issued a new report a few weeks ago concerning American's increasing levels of personal debt. In the last two years, Experian reports our personal debt is up a robust 12%. We obviously can't afford it either, as they list the incidence of late payments up 20% during the same time period. What does this say to you? I really have no idea, but it says to me that most Americans were on the border of what they could afford each month and have now stepped over that ragged line. If you take into account that personal incomes are actually up over the last two years, it says that we've lost our collective minds. When Best Buy has a plasma TV sale, we need a new 50” HDTV, and we need it RIGHT NOW!

Now while this level of consumer spending does fuel the economy, and helps many business reach their quarterly sales targets, we really can't afford it. The next time you think about taking the missus out for a fillet and a good bottle of Merlot, stop and think for a second. Are you going to use plastic? If the answer is “yes” for any other reason besides wanting to get some very-hard-to-redeem airline miles, you should reconsider. Have a nice evening with Netflix instead.

Since Diner's Club issued the very first credit card in 1950, our national lust for credit has allowed over 20,000 different credit cards to flourish. They've assisted us in creating the most personal debt ridden society in world history. Although credit spending does fuel the national economy, one estimate indicates that the average consumer ends up paying a staggering 112% more for purchases than if they paid cash. Imagine if we actually did pay for most of the goods we purchased with cash. We could buy twice as many products using the same resources. Think for a second how that would boost the economy! You could still buy that plasma TV, you may just have to wait a few more months.

Bankrate.com reports that 90% of Americans say that credit cards are not a source of worry for them. That must mean that the 11% of Americans who had debts that went to collection in 2003 weren't worried about their debt. Ditto those contributing to the astounding 98% increase in personal bankruptcies experienced by Americans between fiscal 1994 and fiscal 2003. It's great to see we're all enjoying Songe d'Automne.

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June 05, 2006

Two For One Illegal Immigration Solution

mexican map.jpgWe've got an illegal immigration problem. Ask almost anyone. There's a flow of immigrants coming here from Mexico and, according to the Office of Homeland Security, 7 million were living here at the beginning of this decade. They estimate 4.8 million of these were from Mexico. That was a rise of over 100% from just a decade previously. One shudders to think where this figure is today. This isn't just a Mexican problem either, with other central American countries contributing hundreds of thousands of their citizens to the poor, huddled masses that make up our little immigration problem.

The flight of currency from the U.S. initiated by illegal immigrants is almost unfathomable. Mexico, a country with copious oil reserves, exports about 1.8 million barrels a day. The huge sum of money this infuses into the Mexican economy pales by comparison to the estimated $10 billion (PEW Hispanic Center estimate) annually sent back to Mexico in 2003 alone. In addition, it's estimated that the net drain on US social and health services costs the US taxpayers over $200 each.

We've got a prison population problem in the U.S. as well. Some of this is caused by immigrant crime, much of it is caused by good, old fashioned, home grown crime committed by U.S. citizens. Over 2 million people now call some prison in the U.S. home. This huge number was caused, to some extent by mandatory minimum sentences for relatively minor drug crimes, causing violent criminals to be excused so they can fit in the drug offenders. That's a story for another day, however. The bottom line, however, is that our penal system is overtaxed, and something needs to be done about it.

We have too many illegals here and too many people in prison. Many in our agricultural community claim illegals are an intregal part of our economy, allowing food to be brought to market at competitive prices. They claim that they illegal immigrants allow them to get the produce from the fields at labor rates that American workers shun. Well, let's give the illegal immigrants one less reason to hop the fence. Remove the economic incentive for their trip across the Arizona desert.

We should use our prison population to harvest our crops. They could supplement the efforts of legal immigrant farmworkers. Growers would pay them on a piecework basis, so that they would pay a comparable rate to what they are paying now. The convicts would probably be far less efficient than the immigrant workers, but we have so many of them, it wouldn't matter. Their pay would go back to the state and be used to offset the cost the cost of their incarceration. They'd get in an honest day's work, the state's taxpayers would benefit, and the growers would get their crops from the fields at prices similar to what they pay now. Who knows if, when the economics of the system were examined, such a system would really bear fruit, but it would be worth investigating.

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June 02, 2006

National Guard on Our Borders? Boorah!

Schwarzenegger.jpgWhat? The Terminator is blanching at the thought of actually arming our National Guard forces on the border? California Governor Schwarzenegger said he didn't want to militarize our borders. Excuse me, but isn't that the point? Why have the military on our borders if they can't act like the military. It's reported that National Guard commanders will be able to request the troops be armed with the standard issue Baretta 9mm handguns if the situation warrants it. Well, it does! In addition, even if they are so equipped, they will still be woefully under armed. NATO is even looking at replacing the 9mm as the standard issue handgun and going back to something like the .45 it replaced. This situation calls for the Guard troops to have at least the standard issue M-16 rifle. After all, the drug gangs, alien smugglers and the Mexican Army, all of which illegally cross our borders on regular occasions, are equipped with such weapons. Why should we condemn our troops to less?

It has been suggested by several California gubernatorial candidates that we keep the troops off the border to allow their use in state emergencies. Well guess what? That is how they are being deployed. If there was a natural disaster, they could be rapidly redeployed. The endless flow of illegal (excuse me, undocumented) aliens across the borders of our southern states and the corresponding drain on state resources that it creates, threatens the educational, law enforcement and health care resources in our southern border states. President Bush's amnesty/guest worker program won't help the situation, nor will installing watering stations for those wayward immigrants lost in the desert. Why don't we just fill those watering stations with Perrier? We shouldn't let those setting out on their journey suffer. Only the best for our visitors, at taxpayer expense, of course.

We also need to stop the whole policy of granting automatic citizenship to those children born here of illegal parents. If they are children of legal immigrants, I'm all for it. We should, however, promptly end the practice of allowing illegals to stream across the border for the express purpose of having a child born in the U.S. It's a loophole we need to close now.

While I'm on my rant, I think Fox exhibits extreme hypocrisy when he denies legal Mexican citizens many jobs, while simultaneously allowing/encouraging illegals to come here from his country to find work. Obviously it's fine for us poor slobs here in the U.S.

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Gas Saving Device Shootout Update

Okay! The first stage of the gas saving device shootout is completed. I completed the baseline portion of the test, averaging 18.1mpg overall for the first 2,000 miles. The gas was mostly Chevron 87 octane regular. The average high temperature for the period was 63F and the average low was 46F. The first device I’m going to install is the Tornado. This device purports to increase combustion efficiency by inducing a vortex in the intake air column. According to the folks at the manufacturer, increases in power and gas mileage should follow.

 

Logic dictates this theory has a problem. Immediately downstream from the induced vortex lays the throttle body. Even if the air was in a spinning vortex, you would expect the throttle body / plate assembly to disrupt it. The effect of a vortex, even if reached the combustion chamber, is debatable anyway. Normally when trying to increase an engine's horsepower, you try to smooth the airflow through the intake manifold and into the cylinder. Upon entering the combustion chamber, the geometry of the port and chamber may be designed to induce a spinning effect. Note: If I experience a radical decrease in either gas mileage or drivability, I will remove the device before the 2,000 mile period of the test is complete.

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