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- Why Are Gas Prices So High?

Boss 429s.JPGJust why are gas prices so high that they've actually caused congressional hearings? If you’re one of the over 203 million drivers in the U.S. (2006 Federal Highway Administration statistics) you may not even care why gas prices are so high, you just pray for them to please come down. There are exceptions to this of course. If you’re one of those that is giddy with the prospect that the high gas prices will force drivers from their vehicles, especially those evil SUVs, then the high gas prices are a godsend.

For the rest of you, here is the reason that gas prices are so high. There is a little known office, high atop an office building in mid town Manhattan. In that office, on the 3rd Tuesday of every month, there is a meeting of an even lesser known group of people, almost exclusively older, white, men by the way, who shape the future of world economics.

In these meetings they discuss how to separate the absolute maximum amount of money from the poor and downtrodden to enrich themselves, hopefully at the expense of all that is good and decent. The name of this secretive organization is the Commission for the Maximization of Oil Derived Revenues (CoMODR). They have been known to resort to all manner of tactics to not only achieve their stated goal of keeping gas prices, and other petro product prices, as high as possible.

Not only that, but more than a few good people have died trying to penetrate the inner workings of their organization, all to no avail. As can be seen when you drive by any corner gas station, gas prices are still going up, largely thanks to the efforts of these men. Thanks to modern technology and good old fashioned greed, their efforts to drive up gas prices are more successful than ever. Once, the thought of $125 barrels of crude oil and $4.00 gallons of gasoline were but pipe dreams to these men, something they could only hope to achieve.

Okay, so that’s all a total load of crap, but you would probably find that story a pretty easy sell to at least some of the aforementioned 203 million American drivers and the burgeoning crowd of conspiracy theorists spawned by ever increasing gasoline prices.

So, why is gas really so high? Is it all due to a secret conspiracy, or reckless oil company profiteering? Actually the reason gas prices are so high is a bit more simple than that.

As noted there were 203 million drivers and 244 motor vehicles in the U.S. in 2006. Worldwide, there were an estimated 850 million vehicles (Organization of Arab Petroleum Exporting Countries figures). Contrast that to 1973. In 1973 the U.S. had approximately 122 licensed drivers and 126 million motor vehicles. Worldwide, OAPEC estimates reveal about 298 million vehicles in 1973.

According to the International Energy Studies Group at Lawrence Berkeley Laboratory, the average fuel economy of U.S. driven, light duty, motor vehicles, the group that includes the cars and light trucks that are the predominant transportation resource for American drivers, was only 13.3 mpg. In 2006 that figure had increased to 21mpg (EPA figures). The fuel consumption figures will improve even further in the U.S. due to recent legislation, and the higher price of gasoline and diesel pushing consumers toward more efficient vehicles.

So fuel economy has increased, but not nearly enough to offset the increase in the number of drivers and motor vehicles. This is especially true when worldwide fuel usage statistics are considered. As the world economy has improved and population has increased, so has the demand for petro-products, including gasoline.

Here is the underlying reason why gas prices are so high.

Total U.S. refinery capacity (approximate):
1973 – 13.5 million barrels / day
2004 – 17.5 million barrels / day
This reflects a refinery capacity increase of 29.6%

World Wide Crude Oil Production (U.S. DOE):
1973 – 55.68 million barrels / day
2006 – 73.45 million barrels / day
This reflects a crude oil production increase of 31.9%

World Wide Crude Oil Consumption (U.S. DOE):
1973 – 57.24 million barrels / day
2006 – 85.01 million barrels / day
This reflects a crude oil consumption increase of 48.5%

Consumption increase far outstripped production increase for the period from 1973 – 2006.

U.S. Crude Oil Production (U.S. DOE):
1973 – 9.21 million barrels / day
2006 – 5.14 million barrels / day

This represents a crude oil production decrease of 55.8%

Total U.S. transportation related petroleum consumption:
1973 – 9.05 million barrels / day
2006 – 13.98 million barrels / day
This represents a transportation related crude oil usage increase of 64.7%

Also note that in 1973 U.S. refinery capacity exceeded transportation related demand by 49.2%, while in 2004 (transportation related crude oil demand was 13.76 MBD) they exceeded demand from the transportation sector by only 27%. As 100% of refinery capacity is not available at any given time for a variety of reasons, this, coupled with the fact that demand for motor fuel has risen, while U.S. capacity has been slashed by about 40%, means that we now import much of our gasoline, rather than producing in excess of our demand, as we did in 1973.

You may note that according to U.S. DOE figures worldwide crude oil consumption exceeded supply in 2006 by an average of 11.56 million barrels per day. I triple checked the figures on that, because it seems patently impossible that world wide consumption could outstrip supply by such a large margin.

That would mean that in 2006 the world used 4.2 billion more barrels of crude oil than it produced. Is there a giant tank of crude oil somewhere that I’m unaware of, or are these figures calculated using different methods? If those figures for supply and consumption are indeed true, that’s the reason for gas prices to be so high and be prepared for them to rise even further.

One last thing. Don't forget that the American dollar just doesn't buy what it once did, and that includes gasoline and oil. 

Here is a post on some Tips to Save Gas.

Can you burn water in your car or truck and get a 50% or more increase in gas mileage? I don't know, but it sure sounds great. Decide for yourself here

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