- How Much House Can I Afford? How to Find the The Right Answer For You
“How much house can I afford?” is one of the most important questions you need to be asking if you're shopping for a house. Getting the wrong answer about how much house you can afford is a sure way to end up in the unenviable position of house poverty, where your house owns you, rather than the other way around. Too many people got the answer to this question wrong in the past decade, leading to the rash of foreclosures we're experiencing today. Here's how to find out how much you can afford, or maybe even more important, how much you should spend on your next house.There are a few things to consider when you're calculating the affordability of a house. The first obviously is your income. How much money you make, or more accurately how much you bring home, will go the greatest distance toward explaining how much you can afford. The next piece of the affordability puzzle is how much of a down payment you can afford to contribute to your purchase. The question of how much down payment you can contribute is actually separate form the question of how much you should contribute. Obviously the greater the down payment, the lower your monthly payment will be.
There are two schools of thought when it comes to a down payment on your house. The first states that you should put as much down as possible, while leaving enough in your emergency fund to cover 3 – 6 months of living expenses. This strategy will reduce your monthly mortgage payment maximize your initial equity. This is the more fiscally conservative position.
The second school of thought on the size of your down payment says that you should be able to generate higher returns on your money by investing it than the interest you're paying on your mortgage, especially when the tax consequences of the mortgage interest deduction are calculated. As an example, if your mortgage interest rate is 5.9%, you would be better served by minimizing your down payment and investing the rest, presumably at a higher rate of return. This can be an extremely powerful strategy to generate wealth.
To illustrate the differences between the two different down payment strategies, consider the following example:
If you were to purchase a $250,000 house (I'm leaving out other costs for ease of calculation) and put 20% down, it would cost you a down payment of $50,000. Your monthly mortgage payments would be approximately $1,186. If you put only 5% down, your down payment would be just $12,500, and your monthly payment would be $1,409.
If you invested the $223 difference in the payments every month and received a 9% ROI, you would have a nest egg of $397,588 at the end of your 30 year mortgage. If you took the difference in the down payments of $37,500 and invested it at the same 9% rate of return, you'd have $497,538. This ignores the tax advantages you'd also receive by using the smaller down payment. Because of the mortgage interest deduction, you would be able to deduct the interest on your mortgage from your income. In the first 15 years of your mortgage that generates a substantial tax savings. However, it also ignores the fact that you'd be paying less interest due to the fact that you financed a smaller amount of money, and that with the small down payment strategy you'll be wasting money on PMI until the LTV ratio is at 80%.
With the larger down payment you would pay approximately $228,000 in interest over the 30 year life of the mortgage. With the smaller down payment, you would pay about $270,000. In purely monetary terms you would come out ahead with the lower down payment strategy, and that is before the tax benefits are included in the calculation, which would swing the calculation even more in favor of the lower down payment strategy. The one big caveat here is that you actually have to invest that lump sum, generate a consistent return, and not withdraw the investment for the 30 years in order for the calculations to be valid. Keep in mind too that there are fewer lenders willing to give you a mortgage with only 5% down these days, while many more are happy to do so with 20% down.
So, once you decide how much of a down payment you are going to use, you can calculate how much house you can afford. One problem faced by borrowers today is that lending guidelines have been changed to the point where you can actually get a house that costs too much for your budget. This condition wasn't as prevalent in the past, although now the pendulum is swinging back the other way. Most lenders allow a figure of 36% of your total gross income be allocated for debt payments, including your mortgage. I'm more comfortable with approximately a 33% debt allocation figure.
Many financial experts suggest that you can calculate how much house you can afford using 25% of 25% your monthly income. That is very fiscally conservative and likely to keep you well within your means. The only problem is that in many metro areas of the US, you just can't get much house at that figure, and in some areas you'd have to have what some would call a really good job in order to buy a house.
For example, according to the NAR's median sales prices for single family homes data (Q1, 2008) the media sales price of a home in Atlanta, GA is $154,000. That pencils out pretty well. If you put 5% down, you payments would be $868 per month. Add some property taxes and you'd be at about $1050 per month. You would need a monthly net income of $4,200 to afford that median Atlanta house. Cities such as Houston, Memphis, Pittsburgh, and St. Louis are even more affordable. The problem with the 25% calculation comes into play in some of the more expensive housing markets in the country. If you live in San Francisco or the surrounding areas, you'll pay about $775,000 for the median house, requiring a monthly income of $17,460 to stay at the 25% level.
This illustrates a point. As your income rises, you can actually afford to spend proportionately more on a house, because your other expenses will not rise to the same extent. For example, if you live in the Bay Area, in the median house, you will probably not need $13,000 a month to cover the BMW payments and your dining expenses. It also illustrates why so few people starting out can afford to buy a house in the more expensive metro areas. I dare say that not too many of you jumped into the job market with offers of $209,520 annual salaries! Other cities where you probably can't afford to buy a home unless you already own one include San Diego (median house $459,000), Los Angeles ($459,000), Honolulu ($620,000), Boston ($357,000), Bridgeport, CT ($439,000), New York City ($445,000), Newark, NJ ($409,000), and Seattle ($372,000).
So, the question of how much home you can afford can be easily answered, but in many areas of the country, the answer is just “NO!”
If you're getting a mortgage, especially if you're a first time home buyer, all the language in your mortgage paperwork can be a bit daunting. After all, unless you're a real estate attorney, mortgage broker or work in the mortgage division at your local bank, they're not terms you run across in your everyday life. Here is a brief glossary on some mortgage terms you should know, such the all important good faith estimate.
How expensive of a home to buy is one of the first questions to ask yourself when you begins house shopping. Depending upon who you ask, there are two different answers to this question, although the answer may not be as different as it would have been last year. The two answers will come from your lender and good ole’ common sense. In the past it was common for lenders to allow many borrowers, especially those with better credit scores, to take on a bit more mortgage debt than many analysts would consider prudent. Viola! Instant credit crisis!
For months we've been bombarded by headlines blaring across every form of media imaginable; “Home Foreclosures at an All Time High!!” and “Property Foreclosure Reaches Epidemic Proportions!” Are these dire bits of journalistic bombast the truth, or are they just dedicated to selling more ad space in an election year, possibly both?
It's true. You can get HUD homes for sale at 50% off! What is a HUD home? HUD is a federal agency, the Department of Housing and Urban Development. HUD homes are those that were bought using FHA insured mortgages that fell into foreclosure. After the home has been foreclosed upon, the Federal Housing Authority (FHA) pays the lender as per the terms of its agreement and takes possession of the home.
It doesn’t take a rocket scientist or an economist to realize that the economy (which has recently, to a significant extent, been supported by the rapidly appreciating housing market and rising home equities) as a whole is going to be affected in a negative way when real estate appreciation stops, and worse, the foreclosures rise. According to RealtyTrac, the leading experts on real estate foreclosures, there were about 600,000 foreclosures filed in the United States in Q4 of 2007. That represents approximately a 250% increase foreclosure filings during the prime of the residential real estate boom, Q4 of 2005. By any standards, 250% is not an inconsequential number.
For many of us, especially first time home buyers, the most difficult part of buying a home was scraping together the money for the down payment. With house prices a bit lower now than they've been for the last few years, it is a great time to buy a house, if you're currently a renter. But that old down payment issue keeps rearing it's ugly noggin. There are, however, some ways you can get down payment assistance that will pay all or part of the down payment on your new house for you.
With the recent problems in the credit industry, money’s a bit tight. It can be a bit more difficult to scrape together the requisite down payment that many lenders are after, now that most of the private zero down and creative mortgages have gone the way of the dodo. Rent to own can be a way for some of you to get into a house or condo without throwing away all your hard earned cash on rent. Like anything else, rent to own houses can be a great deal (depending on your situation) or they can spell doom. The devil is in the details.
When engaging in real estate (and other large, comlex) transactions, too many people feel that they really don’t need a lawyer. They might have their real estate agent look over the documents, and they might possibly use a stock, one-size-fits-all contract. You know, one of those fill in the blank, downloadable contracts you can find on the web. You will save a few bucks on the front end of the deal, there’s no question about it.
Where should all you condo flippers and day traders put your investment dollars, now that the stock market has become a bit bumpy and residential investment real estate values have slumped an average of 29% nationwide? Drop back and punt? Not bloody likely! What about an investment that generates healthy returns, when researched correctly, and can provide a great time for you and your family to boot? 